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Jamaica News - Real Estate - Sales (July 9, 2004)
Property market on fire
LAND VALUES in Jamaica, on average, have risen by over 20 per cent since 2003.

The driving force of the price increases are increased demand, an improving economy and dissatisfaction with current money market interest rates.

"Prices over the last year have risen as much as 25 per cent for land in desirable areas," Connel Steer, partner of Allison Pitter & Co. explained. "What I mean by 'desirable' is land with no squatters or ghetto nearby. In my opinion, what has fueled the demand for land is the drop in interest rates for Government paper. When interest rates dropped from 34 per cent to 15 per cent, money needed somewhere to go to get a good return. And so real estate prices have spiked."

Deborah Cummings, managing director of Century21 Heave Ho Properties expanded on this.  "Prices are going up because availability of land is limited, mortgage companies are lending more money, the meltdown in the financial sector has stabilized and the economy is growing."

And just what sort of price movement are realtors speaking of? Well, depending on the location and use of land, the price movement is significant.

DEVELOPMENT LOTS
Andrew Issa, managing director of Coldwell Banker Jamaica Realty states, "Last year, a one acre development lot in the Cherry Gardens/Jacks Hill area was selling for $15 million. This year it sells for $25 million."

Alton Thompson of C.D. Alexander Realty agrees. He said, "persons selling lots in say, Norbrook or Cherry Gardens are targeting developers and so one acre lots can go for $20 -30 million."

Mrs. Cummings states that more and more persons are coming into the market as developers to capitalise on the demand for gated communities. "One townhouse in the Norbrook or Jacks Hill area can go for $18 to $25 million. So for a nice flat piece of land, developers are willing to pay."

CORPORATE AREA RESIDENTIAL LOTS|
But those persons wishing to build their dream house will have to dig deeper into their pockets. Mr. Issa states, "To be honest, single home residential lots are mostly up in the hills. Gently sloping lots with a view can be found in the Norbrook Heights, Belvedere and Red Hills areas. It will cost about $2.5 to $4 million for an one third to one half acre lot."

Mr. Thompson said, "For the Smokey Vale, Stony Hill and Chancery Hall areas, the average price now is $2 million. Last year, there were more lots and so the prices were a few hundred thousand less."

But the most expensive residential lots can be found in the ultra exclusive enclave of Billy Dunn, a neighborhood off Barbican Road. Explains Mr. Steer, "A half acre lot in Billy Dunn costs anywhere from $8 to 12 million. Why? That neighborhood has everything ­ lovely views of the city and the sea, it is very close to everything and there are no social problems like squatters or nearby ghettos."

OUTSIDE THE CORPORATE AREA
Moving from St. Andrew, realtors state that in the North Coast area, stretching from Boscobel to Negril, prices have also appreciated significantly.

Explains Mr. Issa, "Montego Bay is definitely leading the North Coast in growth. Price appreciation over there has been phenomenal. There is a lot of overseas interest in villas and this, in conjunction with tourism growth, has sent up prices. A residential lot of a half or quarter acre is now selling for $4 to $6 million. Further away from the main town of Montego Bay, residential lots of a quarter acre sell for US$50,000 to US$70,000." |

Mr. Steer said, "It is my understanding that quarter acre lots in Harmony Farms near Rose Hall, Montego Bay sells for $3.5 to $4 million."

However, Mrs. Cummings said, "In terms of the North Coast, anywhere on the beach front or with a view of the water has seen its price increase. The greatest demand that we see spans from Ocrabessa, St. Mary to Negril in Westmoreland."

Mr. Steer quantified his assessment, saying, "From the coasts of St. Mary to St. Ann prices have appreciated by 15 to 20 per cent."

Of course, with a new development on the horizon in Trelawny, prices there have experienced an upswing. Mr. Steer said, "Since Harmony Cove has been announced, lots in Silver Sand in Duncans, Trelawny have gone up from US$60,000 to US$65,000. And the lots are really selling."

However, while there has been a lot of talk about re-development of Portland, it hasn't translated into higher prices.

Mrs. Cummings states, "Because of the impending development of Port Antonio sellers have been raising their prices, but people are not yet willing to pay. There is still opportunity to invest in Portland."

In the middle of the island, prices are holding steady. States Mr. Steer about Mandeville, "A half acre lot has sold for about $2 million for a few years."

Yet, there are some gray areas. Mr. Issa opinion, "I don't like to generalise, but there is a dampening of the demand for Negril because of beach erosion. Also in Ocho Rios, there is a huge demand for condos but none are being built. Most foreign investors would prefer to invest in a condo that can be rented out than to invest in land."

COMMERICAL LOTS
Hands down, New Kingston is the hot spot for commercial lots.

Explains Mr. Issa, "Prices are rising for land in New Kingston because available commercial rental space is being absorbed. Once the economy starts to grow, this creates a push for new commercial complexes to be put up. Right now there are two commercial lots on Trafalgar Road near Lady Musgrave Road that are around 35,000 square feet and are selling for $30 million each."

Mr. Steer said that in general, commercial lots have seen a 10 to 12.5 per cent increase in prices.

"Lots on Trafalgar Road, Oxford Road, Hope Road, Old Hope Road, Lady Musgrave Road, Half Way Tree Road and Constant Spring Road now sell from $800 to $1,500 per square feet."

But not everywhere has seen a boom in prices or interest. Downtown Kingston, for the most part, seems to have been forgotten.

States Mr. Issa, "Most of the buildings we have for sale are in the retail, wholesale and dry goods trade, but there is very little interest in those properties."

Mr. Steer said that, "As a result of crime and violence, there is very low demand for properties in the city. The only exceptions are lower Duke Street, lower King Street, and sections of Port Royal Street and Harbour Street. People see it as a hazard to be downtown after 6 p.m."

ALL IS NOT LOST
Still, at least one expert notes that compared to our Caribbean neighbours, real estate in Jamaica is a 'steal'.

States Mrs. Cummings, "Real estate in Jamaica is grossly undervalued compared to islands like Barbados and the Cayman Islands. For example, in Sandy Lane in Barbados, a beachfront single-family property runs for prices of up to US$10 million. A similar beachfront property in St. Ann, at its most expensive is US$6 million. And you can't buy anything in Cayman."

However, if one is still seeking bargains, Mrs. Cummings gives this advice, "There is tremendous opportunity in the South Coast. You can still get great buys there

 


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